THE SECRETARIAT SWEEPSTAKES is brought to you by SERA ( topicount ). The race was originally set up for seventeen entries. Fourteen colts and horses will be going to post. Unfortunately GERMANY ( ARCTURUSI ) and our sponsor SERA ( DEPUTY'S RACE ) have been scratched. MISSOURI did not come up with an entry. All entrys are in the same division so I've included their rankings. Let's have a look at the entrants. DR=divisional ranking J=jockey.
#1)ROAN EMBLEM(74/1-morrie-QUEENSLAND)-Thirty-one races all routes. The first twenty-four on turf, the last seven on dirt. Dirt stats clearly better. Of ten wins only 2 MCOS, an open allowance and a minor stakes six and seven ago respectively both at 14d. Ran best sf in that stakes at 102.7 the only time he cracked triple digits. In only graded company three and four ago was way back in two 14d. Has only run this distance three times, all on turf, unremarkably. Mostly runs 14 & 16 furlongs lately. Likes to get on top.
DR860 J(G. Bungard-12%)
#2)TOW'S CONQUISTADOR(12/1-ousooner-EAST WEST CONNECTION)-56 of 58 routes. Only six wins, amazing for a horse that can post figures of 112.3 his tops. Has $440k in winnings though, the reason is he's run in graded seventeen times and minor stakes eleven times.He is a later bloomer not getting his first triple digit until his 29th race. Has done it fourteen times since then. Has one G3 win and a minor stakes win, both shorter than this. This closer has a 100.4 average at 12d in two races both G3. Has run mostly at nine and ten furlongs lately. Stearns is 0 for seven this year.
DR164 J(M. Stearns-0%)
#3)YOUR PALACES(3/1-rvd-A.S.R.)-16 wins in 49 lifetime. Fifteen MCOS wins include a G2, two G3, and eight minor stakes. This one get's on top and tries to stay, successfully very often. Triple digits nineteen times with 118.0 tops. Has a 103.5 average in eleven tries at 12d. Has $824k in winnings.
DR45 J(B. Langhorne-15%)
#4)DANGER ZONE(13/1-zgreat-VERMONT)-Host track entry is a homebred out of Danzig. Ten wins in 25 good for $1,499k in winnings. Nine MCOS wins include two G1 and five minor stakes. Top figure 111.9 and has triples eight times. Been over the 12 fast dirt distance five times for a 99.9 average including one of his G1 wins. Stalking type.
DR7 J(N. Lawton-14%)
#5)MACHO MAN(7/1-randyraide-DELPENN)-This is a homebred out of A.P. Indy. Ten in thirty lifetime has net $722k. Nine MCOS wins feature a G2, two G3 and one minor stakes. Usually runs mid-pack and tries to close however has never run longer than ten furlongs. Runs more sprints than routes. Triples eight times, tops a 112.5 and had a 103.9 in a 9.5d. Brownlow winless this year.
DR45 J(M. Brownlow-0%)
#6)CUVEE THAT LAKE(27/1-bulddog-THE TERRAPIN JOCKEY CLUB)-Four in twelve life. In three MCOS wins has a minor stakes conquest. Has run 12d twice for for a 100.9 average including his personal best 103.9 which was his stakes win. Ran a G3 at 13d two ago and was distant at 86.9.
DR739 J(B. Child-19%)
#7)BUSTFULLY NOT RAUL(11/1-racelord-VIKING RACING)-Nice record of 24 in 64 earning $1,324k. In 23 MCOS wins, 17 are minor stakes. In graded company seven times has three seconds. Still waiting for the big one. Triple digits 25 times tops a 117.3. Sixteen times over 12 fast dirt has averaged 98.4, 101.2 in his last five of same.
DR71 J(F. Gossett-24%)
#8)STORMY PROSPECTOR(9/1-bertamiran-TEAM INDEPENDENT UNITY)-Only Nine of 33 lifetime but good for an amazing $9,351k. This is due to eight MCOS wins that include three G1, three G2, and two minor stakes. His last TWENTY-EIGHT have all been in graded events so you're going to take your share of losses. Triples 23 times, tops 123.2 is the best sf of all the entrants. Has never run 12f on the dirt, all seven times were on the turf at a 107.8 average.
DR9 J(C. Jamison-8%)
#9)PAN MIKE(13/1-itsalock-MINNESOTA)-Nine of 43 lifetime. Of seven MCOS wins has three minor stakes victorys. Broke maiden in eleventh race, a MC25k. Then came an unsuccessful turf and sprint experiment before rounding into decent form as a dirt router. Six times in triple digits five of them dirt routes 105.5 tops. Only time over this distance and surface was two ago a 102.8 stakes win.
DR393 J(D. Givins-19%)
#10)MECHANICAL DEBEE(33/1-waajib-NEW SOUTH WALES)-Three of 12 life, he didn't start a race until week 1082. Two MCOS wins both restricted allowances. Has run in two G3 and six minor stakes with just two thirds in the minors in fields of six and four. Triples twice, best a 104.0 his only effort at 12d good for one of those thirds.
DR1491 J(M. Staples-15%)
#11)ROO CROWNING(90/1-stickup-IRELAND)-Ten of thirty life only 97k earnings. Two MCOS wins features an open allowance. Deceiving record as seven wins have been in starters. Five times over the 12d course has a mere 77.6 average. Top sf ever was that open allowance win at 10d in 93.1.
DR2872 J(W. McClendon-9%)
#12)BABY FOR FOREST(39/1-n2racing-NORTH WEST RACING CIRCUIT)-Five of 18 life $148k. Four MCOS wins all resticted allowances. Only cracked triples once two ago at 100.6 in a 10d for a ANW4L win. Has never run this long save once at 16t in under seventy. Has averaged 96.8 in two tries at 11d.
DR699 J(A. Darling-14%)
#13)MINE FOREST(2/1-kywildcats-NEBRASKA)-Wish was mine horse. Sixteen of 43 lifetime for $7,238k. Fifteen MCOS wins sport SIX G1, two G2, three G3 and two minors. Triple digits 28 times, tops at 119.7. A marvelous sim specimen, he has never run 12f. Don't think it will be much problem for him as he's run every other route to perfection. Lilbitfarm has only two starts this year.
DR18 J(R. Lilbitfarm- 50%)
#14)GRAND GLITTER(11/1-dinnierawl-NEXIS)-This homebred out of Glitterman has a six of fourteen lifetime record earning $108k. Five MCOS wins feature two minor stakes victorys. Has cracked triples five times in his short career with a nice 111.7 tops. Has run 12d twice for a 88.0 average. His best sfs have come in shorter routes.
DR228 J(G. Blackmore-19%)
CONCLUSION-There are top tier horses in this race mixed in with some a cut or several cuts below. Some don't measure up.
MINE FOREST is the best of this field but has run this long only once in his last eight (a win 16f). Has won three of last four in monsterous times. Could be ice cream for this beauty but has no value. There are horses in here capable of beating him.
STORMY PROSPECTOR, a sim legend, is coming off a clunker and has been messin' around on the turf. Last win was six ago but times have not suffered. Can you believe he's 9/1? Great value.
TOW'S CONQUISTADOR is my longshot. Coming off a big closing effort at 10d last out and has some nice #s at similar distances lately.
My key is YOUR PALACES. Last two were impressive 2nds on this distance-surface, a G3 and a minor. Very hot horse in last three.
MY BETS:
$50 perfectas 3-2,3-8,3-13,8-3
$100 perfecta 13-3
$50 win 8 (because I'll never get him a this price again)
$350 total
Good luck all!
